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Heavy rains may impact bill, but consumers will not feel the immediate effect

This article was translated by an automatic translation system, and was therefore not reviewed by people.




By: Roberta de Matos Vilas Boas


SAO PAULO - The winter of this year was marked by heavy rains in the South, Southeast and Midwest, normally record drought. On this, the volume of water in plants is high, making it possible to generate more energy, hence the bill of the Brazilian should be cheaper, right?

The answer to this question is not as simple as it seems. That's because, according to a recent consultant and expert on electricity, Otavio Santoro, electricity rates for the period July 2009 to July 2010 have been decided by ANEEL (National Agency of Electrical Energy) and reflect the situation of hydroelectric plants at least a month.

"The weather does not affect the account immediately, because the energy being delivered today was bought at least one year by the distributor. The rain of 2009 should be reflected only in 2010 or 2011 in the bill," he said.

Thermoelectric
The use of smaller power plants could also contribute to reduce the value of the bill, as already indicated by entities. Santoro believes that the cost to use these plants is actually larger than that of plants, but at the same time, he points out that they are only triggered when the hydraulic are not enough to generate power.

"The plants were activated in January 2007, because Brazil had a drought in the south and southeast, and the market is still absorbing these costs," he explains. "Given the climate and the high level of reservoirs, the possibility of use of plants in 2010 is low," he added.

At the same time, the consultant states that the Brazilian economy will be the main factor to determine whether or not the use of these plants. "There is a prediction that, in the second half of 2010, the Brazilian is on a par with 2008, but the tanks are full. In 2012, depending on the recovery, it is possible that the plants are triggered," he says. Even if it occurs, Santoro believes that the impact on prices of the account will not be very large.

Rains continue
If the winter of 2009 was one of the wettest of the past 33 years, the spring also promises plenty of water. According to Climatempo, the current season has usually has rain in the south and drought in the Northeast, but this year is expected to above normal rainfall in the South, but there is no expectation of drought in the latter.



Source: InfoMoney

This article was translated by an automatic translation system, and was therefore not reviewed by people.

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