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Economic indicators

Analysts reduce to 4.32% official inflation projection of this year

This article was translated by an automatic translation system, and was therefore not reviewed by people.



 


Brasília - The forecast for the Producer Price Index (IPCA) fell from 4.37% to 4.32% this year, according to the Focus bulletin, a weekly Central Bank, based on estimates of analysts to the main economic indicators. For 2010, the expectation remains at 4.30%.

The IPCA is the index chosen by the government to the inflation target, which is the center and 4.5% margin of 2 percentage points more or less. The goal is valid for this year and 2010.

The BC uses the basic interest rate, the Selic rate to control inflation and thus pursue the goal established by the National Monetary Council. In 2009, the Selic rate has dropped 5 percentage points and is currently at 8.75% per annum. Analysts do not expect further cuts in basic interest rates this year. In 2010, however, the expectation is that the Selic go and end the period at 9.25% per annum.

The projection for the Index of Consumer Price Foundation Institute of Economic Research (IPC-) this year was adjusted from 4.11% to 4.12%.

Market analysts expect greater deflation measured by the General Price Index - Internal Availability (IGP-DI) and the General Index of Market Prices (IGP-M) this year. Estimates of these two indices fall increased from 0.31% to 0.57% and 0.63% to 0.73%, respectively.

In 2010, the expectation is high of 4.5% for the IPC-, IGP-DI and IGP-M.

The projection for regulated prices fell from 4.25% to 4.20% in 2009 and remained at 3.5% in 2010. Prices given relate to the amounts charged for services prices (fuel, electricity, telephone, medicines, water, education, sanitation and urban collective transport, etc.).



Source: Agência Brazil

This article was translated by an automatic translation system, and was therefore not reviewed by people.

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